While President Joe Biden has predicted that outraged pro-choice voters will give Democrats a boost of support in November’s midterms, a new poll released Friday shows that critics of the Supreme Court’s reversal of Roe v. Wade are less likely to vote than supporters of the decision.
According to the Washington Post/Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University poll, 65% of respondents believed the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the federal right to abortion represents a “major loss of rights for women,” while 35% disagreed that the case represents a “major loss.”
Of the group that criticized the court ruling, only 52% said they will “certainly” vote in the midterm elections this year. Meanwhile, of the group that supported the decision, 70% said they definitely plan on voting in November.
Some have expressed shock at the “disconnect” between liberal voters’ dissatisfaction with the Roe ruling on the one hand, and their apparent unwillingness to support Democrats during the midterms on the other.
“Is the discontent with Democratic Party leadership and policies generally so deep that those most affected by the court decision … still plan to sit out this election?” asked Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University.
“I struggle to wrap my head around this disconnect,” Rozell added.
According to the poll, while abortion figured as one of the top reasons people plan to vote this year at 31%, a larger chunk, 39%, cited out-of-control inflation as the main issue driving them to the polls. Trailing behind rising prices and abortion, 23% mentioned crime and 20% mentioned immigration.
Some Democratic activists have suggested that the disconnect between the party’s leadership and voting base stems primarily from a lack of planning and action on the abortion issue.
“Here we are with leadership basically [reduced] to begging for people to vote,” Aaron Chappell, political director of the grassroots group Our Revolution, said earlier this month. “No clear plan, no promises of what those votes will translate to.”
“I think that there is just this wishful thinking on the part of the party establishment that suddenly Roe being overturned is good news, that this changes the tide of the midterms,” Chappell added.