Robert F. Kennedy Jr. made headlines by halting his independent presidential run in several battleground states and throwing his support behind President Donald Trump. According to Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio, this decision could significantly shift the dynamics in these closely watched states.
Prior to his suspension, Kennedy was polling between 3% and 5% across critical swing states like Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Fabrizio’s polling shows that most of Kennedy’s supporters are now leaning toward Trump rather than Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. In Arizona, for example, 53% of Kennedy’s former supporters are backing Trump, while only 28% support Harris.
While Kennedy’s vote share may have been small, his influence in these tight races is substantial. Georgia sees a 13% net gain for Trump among former Kennedy voters, while Michigan shows a narrower margin of just 2%. Other battlegrounds, such as North Carolina and Nevada, reveal Trump gaining between 16% and 21% more of Kennedy’s supporters than Harris.
The RealClearPolitics polling averages underscore how tight these races are. In Arizona and Pennsylvania, Trump and Harris are virtually tied, with less than 1% separating them. In Wisconsin and Michigan, Harris holds a slim lead of 1% to 2%. Kennedy’s endorsement has the potential to tilt these states in Trump’s favor, making it a key development as the 2024 election nears.
As both campaigns adjust their strategies, RFK Jr.’s backing of Trump could end up being a decisive factor in the race for the White House.
