MSNBC Analysis Shows ‘Brutal’ November Coming For Democrats

Just ahead of next month’s all-important midterm elections, CNN’s own poll numbers show a significant decline in support among Black voters for Democrats.

A majority still support Democrats, but with close Senate races across the landscape, falling numbers among this core constituency could be the difference between holding on to Senate control and having it slip into Republican hands.

The numbers are admittedly still high as 74% of Black voters still throw their support behind Democrats. However, when viewed historically, there is trouble looming for the party.

Pre-election polling in 2018 showed that the support was 85%, and just two years ago it still hovered at 84%. That means that there has been at least a 10% plummet in Black support for the Democratic President in just two years.

Further, between January and June of 2021, approval from Black adults for President Joe Biden ran at 87%. Today, that figure is only 64%.

CNN noted that there are several battleground states where only a small shift in party loyalty could be the difference in key races for U.S. Senate.

In Georgia, where incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock is fighting a challenge from the GOP’s Herschel Walker, the Black voting-age population of Atlanta’s suburbs has exploded in the past two decades. Any shift to Republicans among Black voters could spell doom for Warnock.

Nevada, normally a solidly blue state, is turning out to be anything but in 2022. With inflation as the top concern, the hotly contested race pitting incumbent Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto and Republican challenger Adam Laxalt may swing on shifts in the Black vote.

And with racial controversies bubbling in Pennsylvania, the race between Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz and Democrat John Fetterman may be decided by the smallest of percentages.

Fetterman, according to the Daily Wire, has a pair of issues that have resurfaced from his past. One is the vandalizing of a sign for a local business while he was mayor of Braddock, Pennsylvania.

The other came in 2013 when he believed there was gunfire and pulled a gun on an African-American, holding him there until police arrived. How this plays in the vote is anyone’s guess, but again, even a small shift towards the GOP in the Black vote may tip the tally.