Former President Donald Trump’s dramatic surge in 2024 presidential polls shows no sign of letting up, even as administration efforts to destroy his candidacy continue. Now his lead has spread to battleground states key to securing the White House next year.
These must be frustrating times to be a Democrat.
Trump surpassed President Joe Biden in these swing states by anywhere from one to nine points in recent surveys. His advantage nationally grew to as high as 10 points in some polls, though admittedly it is still quite early.
Still, these numbers show the public is disaffected with White House policies and not buying the sweeping indictments pouring onto the former president.
According to Nathan Klein of polling service OnMessage Inc., Trump “can absolutely win a general election.” He told the Daily Caller News Foundation that “his odds get better every day Joe Biden is president.”
Klein pointed toward consistent numbers showing roughly 70% of Americans feel the nation is moving in the wrong direction. At the same time, only 40% or even lower approve of Biden’s job performance.
Not only is Trump up 1.1 pts in the RCP over Biden, only two polls have Biden with a lead.
Trump about to Landslide Biden. pic.twitter.com/X0H3NIHr3j
— David D. Chapman (@davidchapman141) October 5, 2023
And, as Klein noted, Trump only lost Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin by a combined 40,000 votes in 2020. With Biden’s continued plunge, predictions that the former president is “unelectable” prove to be more erroneous every day.
According to a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll, Trump pulled ahead nationally by a whopping 51% to 42% over Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup.
A different survey that spotlighted swing states showed the former president’s advantage in key battlegrounds.
A mid-September Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Trump leading Biden 41% to 35% in states with the tightest margins in 2020. These were Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Yet another poll, this one from Quinnipiac University, revealed Trump leads Biden by 2 points in Pennsylvania. His margin among independents there is a commanding 48% to 39%.
Georgia is an even better indication of Trump’s growing strength in the face of relentless Democratic persecution. The state was hotly contested and went to Biden by the slightest of margins in 2020 as many pointed at signs of irregularities.
A Rasmussen Reports survey released Sept. 15 showed the Republican with a commanding 47% to 38% lead over his rival in Georgia. Likewise, Trump’s lead in North Carolina is four points, a much greater margin than his razor-thin tally three years ago.
